Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.924753 12.574833 14.343018 16.373301 18.634521 21.069942 23.885609
2025-09-14 8.570163 10.771926 13.298809 16.392506 20.055884 24.232770 29.331217
2025-09-21 7.217017 9.704623 12.711559 16.571506 21.348731 27.018910 34.204912
2025-09-28 6.168742 8.798342 12.122325 16.563648 22.265921 29.259940 38.395702
2025-10-05 5.528412 8.300904 11.943504 16.978979 23.645670 32.047100 43.295051
2025-10-12 4.963573 7.819568 11.708471 17.253943 24.801661 34.545448 47.876851
2025-10-19 4.433925 7.316041 11.376777 17.339085 25.665594 36.655954 51.993619
2025-10-26 3.830232 6.630043 10.715353 16.893896 25.747253 37.692556 54.690012
2025-11-02 3.351187 6.074573 10.183281 16.572763 25.950251 38.861495 57.562662
2025-11-09 2.933034 5.565055 9.668207 16.223717 26.068329 39.885959 60.237941
2025-11-16 2.582272 5.124117 9.215013 15.922760 26.218322 40.933263 62.949192
2025-11-23 2.240517 4.657579 8.677218 15.444166 26.061102 41.512122 64.990760
2025-11-30 2.042298 4.425256 8.504611 15.532107 26.769286 43.378722 68.953867
2025-12-07 1.852474 4.186063 8.298762 15.547695 27.357833 45.080989 72.724294
2025-12-14 1.708764 4.016680 8.195835 15.719020 28.187470 47.158147 77.093003
2025-12-21 1.552874 3.804251 7.997413 15.711495 28.721455 48.794444 80.841907
2025-12-28 1.469454 3.728608 8.037346 16.109189 29.921027 51.477995 86.227019
2026-01-04 1.375174 3.618867 8.003999 16.372517 30.903677 53.848088 91.192059
2026-01-11 1.266882 3.465540 7.874869 16.454063 31.579668 55.750496 95.482361
2026-01-18 1.111813 3.187317 7.480397 16.027713 31.370013 56.233451 97.578549
2026-01-25 0.986231 2.959235 7.163727 15.720223 31.341826 56.993652 100.112590
2026-02-01 0.871554 2.740454 6.845554 15.386057 31.244666 57.628058 102.451408
2026-02-08 0.773203 2.547341 6.562549 15.097975 31.209342 58.352606 104.940003